Phillies fans all hope to see a Kyle Schwarber home run or a Jhoan Durán save when they visit Citizens Bank Park. What are the odds that both will happen in a single game?

​

It is probably too early to figure those odds out - but when it comes to the likelihood of seeing various types of plays in a baseball game, we have well over a century's worth of stats to draw on. ​Historically, for example, stolen bases occur almost exactly as often as home runs.

 

Here is what every baseball fan ought to know about how often various key plays are likely to occur:

​

DOUBLE

3.02 per game

​

ERROR

2.30 per game

​

DOUBLE PLAY

1.72 per game

​

HOME RUN

1.41 per game

​

STOLEN BASE

1.39 per game

​

TRIPLE

0.60 per game

​

HIT BATSMAN

0.51 per game